Baltic Panama turning ?

That was second direct day as +8% for it. 

Ships & Tankers related stocks has been following this some week allready.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BPIY:IND

Something to keep on eye.

Usefull RealTime StatData,

(For instance for Mobile Segment Analyse)

VALV,

Not so sure which one is silly, either me or the market, only time will tell but I bought this small crack at this morning based for cash-flow & income statement & balancesheet.

The company is also debth free, it´s CEO own the 50% from the shares.

Negative session ahead,

Europe has been selling some. 

When it happened last time, 6 months ago ? (Cannot remember anymore).

Greece is up +30% in 4 weeks.


US likely not bullish today either as closing value.

Jabil Circuit,

When to exit these things, spring / summer 2012 ?

Just wondering...I don´t have this one actually.

Apple PE is now about 10,7 with 500 $. 

Still, it´s not actually expensive - my local food retails and shops are more lofty priced if there will be no surprizes ahead - I-pad-3 / I-phone5 acts allready ? ;)


Jones Group,


Potential ZigZag Wave2 as Complex Triple Tree.

First one is Daily Chart, Second one as Weekly where impulse is located.



Rosetta Stones,

Here´s a little EW trick I noticed on Sunday with that Rosetta post as 60 min.

These triple flats can be many ways on there, they are difficult of cource since they can even x3 to make more of them, but counting the numbers itself might help often and after one triple flat something important should be trying to respond - even after the fact as afterwards it´s helpfull that something important potentially has ended.

More complex means better response in EW, usually once ended.

Btw. From these smaller and more risky names (lower post) my MOTR potentially changed waves for W3 today with 60 minute degree. My broker screen shows they banned shortselling for it today which might be reason for "spurt".

HAR,

Here´s the potential weekly EW for it. Stock for decade to own for me.

(In shorterm it might move a bit more after Daimler reports from German, since Daimler is their customer also BUT I do not have any short period bets for it - just stocks as well as Daimler & BMW shares too).

Taiwan Tower,

I like it;


Silent / flat day for a while, expect Greece which came up as usual, that market is now up +25% in 4 weeks, I have read some reports recently what names international investors are picking up from there based for valuations.

I noticed this IDCC came down today -7%, since it is only one do not have divergences either I will skip it from this 4G deparment because noticed there has been also earlier one large volume selling bar with daily chart but potentially going to look at it once and if 61.8% is overlapped (spring 2012).

Harman Kardon, you should read it how they see emerging markets for them, it is also one of those stocks I believe are travelling with daily Wave3´s (posted it some months ago).

Quality stocks from SPX.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/347991-harman-international-industries-ceo-discusses-f2q-2012-results-earnings-call-transcript

Btw. Eur-Usd is starting to look impulsive for me, 1.3400 might be under way in a shorterm.

(But I don´t have it as pairtrade, not much interest to own or look currencies in these days instead stocks).


Telecom Fiber Optic,

I wrote during the weekend some longer thoughts and analysis about 4G LTE update where Acme Packet (APKT) was mentioned as long candidate, some more update for tat post as charts.

AFOP & IDCC & CIEN fits for me from the same business group. 

AFOP and IDCC particulary but even CIEN montly (10 years) chart start to raise some questions.

Attatch one´s are all daily degrees.

Long cases for me.

Microvision,

Uh, can´t help much but I have bad "habit" to buy some of these little trouble some companies usually during the january-february. This one got some-what positive feedback for this i-product (they are currently designing new one with alliance of another company which have sound also). 

Company potentially used so called fire-sale to fund them more few years back which also leaded to destroy current shareholders equity. At times it was however more close of 4 or 5 bucks stock.

Difficult issues, on the other hand critical mass as business users for these kind of add-on´s starts to be available, this is for sale via Amazon for instance. I would hope their technology would aloud to ramp up screen resolution with next one which should be published at some time during this quarter if it is believing that they mentioned in CES.

Hopefully also bar-code scanner would become available as "i" add-on which would sound natural think to do for them as next after. Obvisouly lag of modern industrial design disturbs me a bit where it looks much less like "apple" - it´s not "zig" as french would call.

On the other hand if portable projector would start to become more popular between sales peoble and consultants for instance, it would not take long viewsonic or similiar company would likely come quickly with similiar product and who knows, perhaps even with better one.

Either way, planning to hold it for about 6-9 months to see how they are doing but it is risky. I bought it today together with this another odd mobile adv. company.

Watch closely when they launch and give more details of this next product, this is because they key sector is laser tech. where they also hold some very key patents.

This one has been available from them allready where Hexus gave some carefull positive feedback:

MotriCity, MOTR,


Is it ending triple zigzag (diagonal) ?


Sunday Post,




The chart was hit by loosing US military contract in the passed but this might be buying opportunity.

Overall year was miserable 2011 for them. With decreasing government budgets as well as consumers trading down to cheaper alternatives. Nevertheless, the company continues to have a best-in-breed product and a balance sheet with no debt and 76% of its market cap in cash.

I am also long with upcoming WaltDisney (DIS) earnings to mention something special from the upcoming week with earnings calender. 

New I-helthcare issues appears to be coming, Philipps has also entered for this territory:






4G

Time to prepare for massive 4G upgrade ? No wonder if FFIV keeps running a bit. 

I am thinking Acme Packet (APKT) long for this as one candidate. I haven´t listen their conference call yet but it is interesting this market is not actually so interested of passed Q results anymore instead appears to be looking something further which wasn´t even provided much.

This article might provide some reasons for it and my recommendation to read also Car MEMC chip.

GigaOM current estimate is that totally 8,6 billion mobile devices are attatched to the network by 2015.

http://www.isuppli.com/Mobile-and-Wireless-Communications/News/Pages/LTE-Expected-to-Dominate-Wireless-Infrastructure-Spending-by-2013.aspx

Techbull have legs ie. reasons there to run in sub-categories, passed Thailand flooding for instance hits this disk area now too and warehouses are forecasted to be pretty sold later during the spring if not even empty.

http://gigaom.com/cloud/cloud-server-shipments-to-skyrocket-in-2012/

Seagate (STX) for instance who recently bought disk business from Samsung also has been happy runner, clouds & data in the sky.

4G replication speed is 1 Giga for MobileDevices which is major difference from 3G.

http://www.seagate.com/www/en-us/

I see these 2 are very related between each other. It´s more data and / or applications which are strored in the sky on future but it also increases need for bandwitch speed and that´s where 4G steps in.

It´s not the old rosy millenium days for everyone for long, for instance Merrill Lynch wrote recently a letter this cloud based IT business will be 160 billion tsunami at the market place where even Microsoft itself could be under danger.

It leads for less hardware (which is good), for instance entire PC computer as box with all the silly accessories might be vanished and that´s what I think HPQ for instance has been wondering should they sale PC division away fully and leave only Servers and AirPrinters. There is hundreds of old tech. companies wondering in these days what to do on future at all (Sony, Panasonic, Nec, Nintendo for instance from Japan) and Nasdaq is full of these old names to start even listing where it is questionable can they re-innovate themselves to find place to be because the product they do today is not necessary even exist tomorrow anymore.

PC computer is one such a example.

Printer cabels itself are gone allready, it´s all AirPrinting from anyplace / everywhere from any device.

http://www.apple.com/ipad/features/airprint.html

I-pad itself is going to change a cash-register / payroll system & providers & e-commerce too and it won´t stop only for that, the entire CRM / ERP systems starts to live and work in  real-time. Accounting deparment for instance receive your transaction in the moment you buy a just a cup of coffee with-out piece of paper or receipt changed or needed.

Some first implementation where I-pad has been implemented as cash-register system has reported +12 % sales grow immediately, particulary this is going to change service sector but it might attack even for all retailers globally where so far it has been mainly used by corporation managements only.

Those real business applications for it are coming allready from all over.

This for instance is targeting for restaurang & hotel segments:

http://www.isispos.com/

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ulo3ghlaFPw&feature=related

It also accepts credit cards:

https://squareup.com/

This is currently implemented for pharmacy area in US:

http://www.veevasystems.com/home/

This is targeting for e-commerce application:

http://www.shopify.com/

During the 2011 I-phone got a lot of attention with all kind of kewl add-on devices / apps which more or less were toys and gadgets but this second wave is much more serious and currently it is pretty hot in medical sector also when it comes to innovations and new start-ups.

It changes the way how entire customer, sales and sales transaction is threated or done because it does not require the location or space for it and there is no cash receipts exist anymore either - it goes fully wireless.

If one is looking Nasdaq listed equities, around 3600 of them - many of them big wonders, the right business strategy and even product change need to be done pretty much now if planning to be even exist tomorrow anymore. We are on the way for less material world where devices are much more handy & smaller, even minimalist world where also final change might be how even daily newspaper or post is going to delivered at all which brings gigantic troubles for paper and paper machinery industry with all sub-categories once revolution takes the step. Computers didn´t change it too dramatically at times but this one might do so.

It requires less space, it´s very similiar what happened for elevator at times. Every buildings used to have separate elevator room in the basement for long before Kone Co. created maintenance free elevator without this room required, once it took place building architects left this room fully off from new developments.

For now, it is questionable does special deparment stores even need separate cash-desks anymore.

Even software itself is not necessary installed to these devices some day, the device itself reads it from the cloud where all hardworking and processor needed CPU math is done.

ATT stats shows allready clouds has started to boost network traffic significantly in US, this traffic so far comes a lot from Apple users but this trend is not going to change in the long run while everyone are running to the sky (clouds).

As Tim Cook from apple expressed it, it is not product, it is the strategy for next 10 years.

IBM propably made good decision long time ago when they sold hardware for chinese if looking it today because today one might have difficulties to find buyers for it anymore. Servers and Laptops of cource stays on there but those big ugly boxes and tons of cabels from homes and offices might be gone later.

If you want to know reason why Paulson lost fortunes with Hewlett Packard shares over 2011, the reason for it was not Europe, Greece or Italy. It was this hardware change - market saw this is coming to be trouble one. The good news is they have AirPrinters now.

For the end, one more toy for it ;)

http://www.gosphero.com/

Hmmmm,

Looks alike no-one is not interested about it much. It is kind of factory in these days rather than volalitet tech stock and makes the movements in Europe. If it does not make anything interesting in a few days or drops a few ten cents I will likely drop it off from my portofolio. The volume is not there and it might mean chart is not correct because it likely would be done it´s movement allready if the case of W3.

For instance, if you look my WHR chart  - in any event once W3 comes possible there is no such a thing exist as "resting" or "sleeping".

I think it´s too early for Nokia / my count for it might not be correct but I will keep it as long as it won´t violate my Wave2 entry.

In either case, US market does not price it, it is just ADR certificate on there - Europe does.

It´s about 4.68 - 4.70 as max. where it can go in the case to keep that count, so relative small %:s anyhow. If that would be violated for downside, my count would not be correct for it.

Nokia,

Buy it, that´s bottom is my bet for some months to come, not only for this hourly chart but also daily.

Stops with W2 retracment.

It sells carefully well in Northern Europe, the new Lumia.

Nokia,

They are trying hard to get attention & also younger image now. This is from London / UK



I haven been researching this area a lot recently but it might take a few weeks from me to come up with a thoughts I ended with where it does lead at the end or where it is going now-on but many names might be under real danger now in the long run if not understanding this correctly where this area is heading from here.

Btw. Nokia is going to open Nokia NightClub in my city, will be opened in a few months time ;)

Saturday Post,

Netflix, Short Long Story to learn with ElliottWave,

I took NFLX long (after they reported earnings), not before, why ?

Because it´s weekly chart has reached max. W2 retracement and daily chart was building it a impulse wave which I did wait that it won´t be a zigzag wave. 

I did watch it´s recovery phase for long how it is going to do it, with zigzag or impulse.

Without going all the deep issues related for the company (A dead lot have to went correctly for them to become global & dominant player and there is troubles, like margins potentially ahead) and there is too many issues with it starting from tangible assetts and certainly need to raise more cash to become global in this field.

I just faced it like this:

There have to a be a lot of things wrong that chart is capable to reach elliott wave 2 max. bottom as public have to be super bearish with it, with this size degree (weekly chart).

If you do deal with wave2 lows, you are there alone - there isn´t no-one home.

Also I don´t believe something dead boring as WallMart will enter for this area as competitor, WMT is only local poor boy shop available only in US - if one want to destroy your brand or deal with low-end customers only, deal with it. It belongs for totally different customer segment.

Amazon is of cource question, which btw. start to be WallMart of the Net also > boring but works.

Bring the Tv for 2012 x-mas sale.




NFLX: If you are interested from this high risk name you might want to look if there is another degree W2 (ABC) change for it during the winter / spring but so far I think it just changed even for more agressive wave.


Mining,


Marked potential waves for it.

If they will jump a bit further, do not be surprized...


Mining, Oil, Gold, Silver + Commodity Stocks,

 Good days keeps coming. It was actually silent in Europe expect Greece which jump again +5% ;). 

Mining - place to be with FED but also place to be for some time I think.

Apple PE is now 10 with 450 $, it is very correctly priced I think. 

Premium range could be PE 10-12, meaning the most secure exit for earnings call was 450 $ but it could still trade slightly higher & stay with-in this valuation range. Best part however might be done.

Nickel : ZigZag correction down behind and RSI is overbought  

===> 

We do work with impulse waves for upside.

I think there is still summer days ahead, with mining, commodity and oil stocks, particulary.

But I highlight the word "stocks" rather than actual physical commodities.




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